Liverpool vs Bayer 04: betting odds 5 Nov 2024

Matchday 4 of the 2024/25 UEFA Champions League group stage features Liverpool (England) taking on Bayer Leverkusen (Germany) on November 5th at Anfield. Liverpool vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and betting, odds, statistics.

Referee: Danny Makkelie (Netherlands)

Matches – 11 (International matches, 2023/24–2024/25);

Yellow/red cards shown – 44;

Average yellow/red cards per match – 4;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 21;

Penalties – 18%.

Liverpool vs Bayer Leverkusen Line-ups

Liverpool (4-2-3-1): Caoimhin Kelleher – Kostas Tsimikas, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil van Dijk – Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister – Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Mohamed Salah – Darwin Nunez.

Bayer Leverkusen (3-4-3): Lukas Hradecky – Jonathan Tah, Edmond Tapsoba, Piero Hincapie – Jeremie Frimpong, Granit Xhaka, Robert Andrich, Alejandro Grimaldo – Florian Wirtz, Marten Therry, Patrik Schick.

Liverpool

Liverpool, along with Aston Villa, top the Champions League group stage table, achieving maximum points after three rounds (9 points). Their opponents have been representatives from the top-5 European leagues: from Serie A – Milan (3:1) and Bologna (2:0), and from Bundesliga – RB Leipzig (1:0). In all three opening rounds, Arne Slot's pupils scored before the 30th minute. It's worth noting that in their last 10 matches in this European cup, Liverpool has secured 8 victories, suffering only two defeats (both times against Real Madrid).

Goalkeeper Alisson Becker, forwards Diogo Jota and Federico Chiesa, as well as midfielder Harvey Elliott will miss the match due to injuries.

• In 7 of the last 10 club's UCL games, a maximum of three goals were scored.
• One of the teams failed to score in 5 of the last 7 Liverpool matches in this tournament.
• The first 45 minutes ended in a draw in 7 of the last 9 Liverpool's home Champions League matches.

Bayer Leverkusen

Leverkusen can also be pleased with the start of the Champions League group stage. After three rounds, the team has 7 points and a high sixth-place position in the table. In the last round, Habib Alonso's team lost their first points and conceded their first goal, playing to a draw away with Brest (1:1). Before that, Bayer convincingly defeated Milan (1:0) and Feyenoord (4:0). The Germans currently have a five-match unbeaten streak in this tournament (2 wins and 3 draws).

Defender Jeanuel Belosián and forward Amin Adli will not play due to injuries.

• In 14 of Bayer's last 17 Champions League games, no more than three goals were scored.
• At least one team failed to score in 9 of the club's last 11 matches in this tournament.
• Leverkusen scored more than one goal in only 3 of their last 13 away matches in this European cup.

Liverpool vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Since 2019, the Merseysiders have only lost in the Champions League to opponents from Serie A and La Liga. However, Liverpool has a good record against Bundesliga clubs – over the past 22 years, the team has played nine matches against German clubs in the UCL and has achieved 8 victories with one draw. I believe that the English will overcome Leverkusen, who in this century have faced clubs from the Premier League in this European tournament 12 times and suffered 7 defeats (2 wins and 3 draws).

Also note the current form of both clubs in the Champions League. Liverpool has won 5 of their last 6 home matches, only losing to Real Madrid. Bayer, on the other hand, has not been impressive away in this European cup – in their last 18 matches, the Germans have only three victories (7 draws and 8 defeats) and have scored few goals in away Champions League encounters.

Our prediction is a Liverpool win with odds of 1.67.